Showing posts with label Forex review. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Forex review. Show all posts

Thursday, June 3, 2010

Rumours Of Iran Euro Sales Heigtens the USD Currency

Rumors from Iran Central bank said that the management had decided to diminish EURO reserves to 20-25 percent from 50 percent and then convert the euro currency into the Dollars and Gold. It is also heard in the market that the sales of the first stage is begin and its target seems to be 15 billion was expected to be finish off till the end of September. EUR 45 billion is expected amount for the whole sales. Iran is expected to reduce its cost of oil sales in euro. While buying seems to be low and USD stays tight against all the major currencies of the Forex online trading market. Prime Minsiter of Japan has announced its resignation leads to the Japanese currency Yen in the soft order in the market. This announcement of resignation is just come before week and now the currenct finance minster of Japan is the successor as the market expects for the chair of Prime Minsiter.

According to the report presented by the Challenger, Gray the US planned to dropped layoff early makes a fall of 65 percent in the month of May where as eurozone PPI rises to 0.9 percent mom. Aussie GDP reaches to a high of 0.5 percent qoq and 2.7 percent yoy in the first quarter of this year that is 2010. While Swiss retail sales rises to 1.3 percent yoy in the month of April. Monetary base roses to 3.7 percent yoy in the end of the may month. Although the Japan currency is not going as good because of the political uncertainity where as apart from this the US currency is gaining as the demand of risky assets rose.

We have seen that the currency pair USD/JPY reaches to the high level of 92.36 first time after the eigteenth of may where as the currency pair EUR/JPY reaches to 113 level as anticipated in the market after the recovery of the US labor market. In the market rumuors are going on about the next leader of Japan that was expected to the current finance minster will take the vacant position of the Prime Minster of Japan that ultimately leads the Yen currency to lag behind in the market from some past days. Th finance minister of Jpana suggested the BOJ to do not look steady at the market try to fight against the deflation to stop it. While rise is seen in the Asia Pacific of 2.4 percent and the Nikkie embedded the goodness in the stocks by rising 2.46 percent more. The stocks seems to be rebound and also triggers the risk appetite because of the japanese investors amendment foriegn bond net purchases to the most expected till the month of September.

There was a advancement shown in the currency pair of AUD/USD that seems to be rises to 0.5 percent and the currency pair NZS/USD rises to 0.4 percent in the consecutive second day at the Forex market. This is all due to the strong economic data that comes from US while the Aussie demands for the risk appetite. Where as the trade balance of the Australian trade adds the surplus in the month of April as there was a high jump shown in the iron ore exports that is of 25 percent more from the past, coal shipments rises to 40 percent more where as the exports also rises to 11 percent as comapred to the April month. RBA has forecasted that the boom of Asia srocks may lag the Australias's trade in the coming time.

The currency pair EUR/USD seems to be in good path as it seems to be rises from 1.2111 to 1.2281 on first june. It gets the support from the stocks rise in the starting of this month. While as about the US economy it was predicted yesterday that the US comapnies are ready to launch 70,000 jobs as the intial jobless came fells to 455,000 from the previous 460,000. In this week there was a meet fixed between the Finance minsters with central bankers of G20 in Bussan that was in South Korea which decides about the current situation of EURO debt crisis. The currencty finance minster of Japan mentioned in his one of the interview that the european debt crisis leads an adverse effect on the Global economic growth of the country merely because of the leading trading countries that is China, india and Brazil are still ready to fight against the deflation as they are robust enough.

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Tuesday, June 1, 2010

Strong GDP Growth Rate Strengthened Canadian Dollar

Yesterday was the day of goodness for the Canadian Dollar since morning because after the release of GDP growth rate report in the market a drastic change is seen in the Canadian Dollar index chart that is it seems to be rises up after the past day lows of the Forex online trading market.

GDP growth rate rises up to six percent that is beyond the expectations of annualized rate. As we have noticed that it grows up to 0.6 percent in the month of March as compared to the Feb. growth rate that is of only 0.3 percent.

It was anticipated in the market that the Canadian Dollar is expected to rise up until the meet of BOC members that will be held today. The market is expecting that the BOC will be the first G7 Central bank that begin the tightening in the market.

Fed will hope to "maintain its accommodate policies of exit" as mentioned specifically by the Fed Chairman Bernanke in mid term of this year. But it is also correct that timing of exit may differ in the countries as their economic conditions may vary among different countries.

The major question that is still in the mind of the EU members are "how the euro zone debt crisis ends will affect the economy of the country that will persist the fact that how to respond" is specified by the Philly Fed Plosser. Since some members was expecting that the economic debt crisis will embed uncertainty in the outlook of the economy.

In May month there was a sudden growth seen in the PMI of Japan and it reaches to 54.7 percent. The industrial production in Japan leads to grow up at the rate of 1.3 percent mom where as it was 25.9 percent yoy in April month.

There was a drop also shown in terms of economic confidence and services confidence that is of 98.4 in the month of may and services dropped up to level three. While there was a drop down also noticed in the euro zone M3 money that is 0.1 percent yoy in the month of may.

Since October 2009 it is seen that the RBA has taken meeting up to 6 times and still it is seen that the RBA will keep their rate unchanged from 4.5 percent.

There are some factors hat suggests the hold of Central bank that is it includes recent development in macro-economic developments along with euro zone economic debt crisis and its impacts on the Global world economy outlook that ultimately heightens the risk aversion and also a mild impact on the moderation of the economic data of Australia.

he European debt crisis embedded uncertainty in the outlook of the Global economy- said by the Chicago Fed Evans and after this if the Fed government decides to keep the price rate low for some extent then it will not make any wonder among the minsters.

If we look at the commodity prices of japan then it seems that it was doing little bit good recovery as compared to other nations that its PMI growth rate is 54.7 percent in the month of May. While the increase is shown in the Industrial production and rises to 1.3 percent mom in May.

The relative strength of the currency pair of AUD and CAD will be determined after the decision of the BOC and RBA minutes that seems to crucial for this week. As we have seen that there is a recovery seen in the currency pair of AUD/CAD after a low of 0.8645.

There will be a further recovery expected in the currency pair of EUR/JPY which was at the tight range today for four hours but it gets recovered around 38.2 percent. It was anticipated in the market that further recovery seems as a correction in the huge down trend in the euro currency pairs.

At last it was only said that the further extent is seen in the Canadian Dollar after the stronger economic data release and now how long will it go to is still a doubtful case fo the investors. BOC minutes will decide in the today's meeting about the "pause" will continue or they will change the interest rate now for the June hike.

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Monday, May 31, 2010

Forex: Market Recovers By Improvements In Risk Sentiments

After getting a support from China, Euro zone countries debt and State Administration of Forex online market acknowledges by China that- "Euro zone is one of the major market for investments among all the nations". This cause the risk sentiments to get a strong recovery in the week. There was a recovery shown in the past week Friday in DOW also. It closed at the level above 10000 and reached above from the intraday low of 9774 to 10136 level. Crude oil reached to the 73.97 level and breached to the level above 75. Nevertheless, the improvement in risk sentiments does not make any changes in the level of euro and it closes at low point on the late Friday. Since, euro gets failed against recovery of major currencies that is Dollar and Japanese Yen.

We all heard about the latest news that Fitch has cut the Spain's rating in the market from AAA to AA+ because of this On Friday there was a sharp fall noticed in the common currency which closes low at the end of past Forex session. Fitch also mentioned the fact that the Spanish economy get reduced because of the adjustments in the lower level of private sector along with external indebtedness. Euro zone nations still worried about the economic recovery after the recent downgrade in the Spain. The concerns about the recovery of austerity measures also added to the part of euro zone concerns about fiscal health. Ultimately these concerns impact on Euro and it shows a drop-down against the Aussie of 4.19 percent where as it drops to 2.83 percent against the Canadian Dollar. The Fitch assigned an stable outlook to the Spain by cutting its rating.

In June month there will be considered a two important developments will get the main focus that is first one is the development seen in the stocks. In last week there was a break out seen in the DOW even though it touches the low of Feb. in some past days. The buying of stocks leads to the rise again at the end of week. Where as the rise in CRB stocks are also shown and leads it to the level above 258. The recoveries was over as argues after the Friday's sell-off and seems to be looked corrective as anticipated by the market experts. There are major events are scheduled by Canada and Australia as they may discuss about the crucial factors that is whether commodity currencies will be steady for long term or not. The market is still expecting a hike from the BOC even though it seems to be in volatile state as the Forex market.

In this week the market main focuses on rate hike of BOC since, the market were pricing only forty percent at only one point where as 25 bps rate hike in terms of BOC as anticipated for this week in the market. But it is seen that OECD has taken an strict action against the BOC and ordered them to remove all the policies that leads the investors to increment their betting as the stocks gets rebounded in past week. Therefore, at the end of the week it is noticed that market gets only a seventy percent rate hike since we all know that BOC rate hike is not a done deal in the market. It is seen that there was a recovery seen in the past week in the Canadian Dollar against the major currencies and commodities of the market. The market experts anticipated that the US and UK market is to be returned on Monday or Tuesday so traders have to be cautious while trading in the market.

In this week it was predicted that RBA may take meeting for giving details about the minutes of there "pause" taken in the month of may. There were seven meetings taken by the banks and issued the borrowing cost raising up to six times. Although this was expected from the starting of the May month before the intensification of the Euro zone financial crisis and also before the fall of the stock market. There was also a fall seen in the Australian market after fourth of May to 4194 from the high of 4753 index level. It seems to be a 12 percent low but again shows a rebound at the end of the month and reaches to 4479 level. But it is still at a low of 11 percent as compared to a high level of 5048 in the month of April. Overall it is expected in the market for a June hike that RBA should take a move that will ignore the previous statements of RBA, so is Aussie.

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Friday, May 28, 2010

Forex: Crestfallen GDP Rate Dishearten The Market Sentiments

Yesterday the rise is seen in the Asian market by the Strong impact of Japan and New Zealand currency. Although the market seems to be in slow pace in the opening Forex online session but it surged as the time goes on and reach to high in the late Forex session. The US equities leads the market drops down in the morning but a sudden rebound is shown in the market as the time passes. There is also a good news from the exports side as they grew to 40 percent high in the fifth consecutive month due to the high selling of cars and high-tech goods. Where as the exports fell by 2.2 percent in New Zealand in the month of April and 4.06 percent in the month of March. While the China shows an impressive increase of 44 percent in exports.

Asian stocks trades seems to be higher than Nikkei and reaches up to 1.23 percent high but still below the 10000 level in the market. There was a further recovery seen in the Crude Oil where as the gold seems to be still holding the position above 1210. The EURO becomes the lower currency of this week but it still maintains it level above 1.2143 versus Dollar as seen in the overnight decline. The US equities seems to be revised above the 3.5 percent as expected annualized growth in the market where as the price index expected to rise up at 0.9 percent and core PCE expected to rose 0.6 percent respectively. There was a overnight recovery noticed in the USD currency due to the EURO weakness. But the Dollar index is still seems to be in low below the high of 87.46.

On Thursday Forex session the stocks gets the rise in the market due to which the US Dollar and Japanese Yen selling will seems to be low in the market. Because of this in the late Forex session both the currency fall down against the stocks. Th main cause of Yen falling is the expanded investors carry trades in the market. Since we have noticed that the US economy revised to 3.0 percent in the first quarter of 2010 year while the exports in Japan seems to be rose strongly in the Q1 session. Despite the weakness in the US retails trends there was still a rise seen in the Sterling currency. As the crude oil gets the price rise of 4 percent and commodity prices reached high there was a sudden rise seen in the Australian and Canadian Dollars. The EURO got advanced after the China's administration of Forex which eventually manages the $ 2.4 trillion of currency foreign exchange mentioned that- China's exchange reserves is always invested by the Europe the major investor market of China.

As we have seen that the US GDP growth rate received a third consecutive quarterly expansion of 3.0 percent after going through the lead rate of 5.6 percent in the fourth quarter of the past year 2009. The positive consolidations of the GDP growth rate was business equipments, new inventories along with personal consumption where as the weakest point was the commercial construction, net export rate and non other than government spending. These all factors affects the growth rate of US GDP in the first quarter of the current year 2010. The price index of GDP receives 1.0 percent hike in Q1 as compared to the past year q4 GDP price index which was only 0.5 percent that's why the market expected a price index rate of 0.9 percent in the first quarter.

US jobless claims was seems to be less than anticipated after the MAY 22 which was 14000-460,000 as compared from the past week job-less claims that got a hike of 474,000. Where as there was a hike seen in the consumer price index in the 3 increase in the four consecutive month and leads to 0.1 percent. Th UK retail sales seems to be in negative in the graph since March 2009 and now fall to 18 percent down in the month of May where as it was at 13 percent down in the month of April. While employment level shows a increase in Switzerland up to the modest growth rate of 0.1 percent.

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Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Euro Debt Concerns Heightens Due To Stressed Spain's Bank Industry

In late US session it was seen that the stocks rebounds benefits the Dollar to hit a high of 87.46. In may month there was a rise of 63.3 percent is seen in the Conference board consumer confidence data. It was highest since March and now reached above the expectations of 59.0. The fall of Euro currency becomes a worldwide threat as said by Bullard. He also mentioned confidently about the economic recovery will remain on track and rise in GDP growth will remain continue in the coming quarter and it leads to a full year growth in national income.

In yesterday's Forex session Global stocks tumbles down and there is rise seen in the USD currency and Japanese Yen. The fall of Global stock market is due to the Spain's banking concerns and Korean currency drop-down. The investors are so much worried about the Spain concerns since it may rise the debt crisis in European countries. The four Spanish bank had submitted a proposal to the Central Bank of Spain to merge their business. This causes the major European index to fall that is FTSE is down to 2.21 percent where as DAX falls to 2.34 low and CAC drops down to 2.9 percent.

Yesterday there was a great fall shown in the Asian stock market due to the Korean fall impacts. While the Dow and S&P shows a rise in the last session of forex to maintain its rebound after breaching to the low of Feb month. The Dow index again rebounds to reach above the 10000 at 10043 and is now just down to only 22.9 percent only from the past high. Dow may be rebounds to Feb's low until it touches a high of 12000.

There is a sharp fall is seen in the Dollar index yesterday that is USD unable to break through the 87 level and drops down. There was a recovery seen in the currency pair of EUR/USD and reaches to level of 1.2671 where as GBP/USD rises to 1.4527 high along with the recovery of AUD/USD to 0.8363 level. Crude oil tumbles further to the level below 67 while Gold remains steady at 1190 level in the Asian market. US equities open at low level to provide an additional support to the USD currency and Japanese Yen.

EUR/JPY pair reaches to a low level at 109.32 point in the Forex online market along with the currency pair AUD/JPY that dives to 72.04 low level but this does not impact on the major currency of Japan that is Yen. As we have seen that Japan's currency Yen is still in upward position in the market and may rise to high level in the coming Forex session. The currency pair NWZ/JPY again drops this week as compared to the last week's session. Where as there is some rise shown by the CAD/JPY to regain the past high of 94.46 level. But, it can be said that the currency pair remains bearish although the resistance holds at 85.86 level.

As the banking problem in Spain is the highest priority concern among the market investors because this will lead the European currency to wide spread in the Global economic market which impacts the economic recovery of the market. IMF warned the Spain's bank about the consolidations remains low then the Spanish banks have to get prepared otherwise the financial trouble will lead the bank into an intervention.

BOE policy makers specified the fact about the Japanese economy that it faced the same condition as the UK and US economy is facing today and it may lead to the recessionary condition due to the small policy making mistakes. But the Posen also specified that one major problem that was not faced by the Japan's economy in their recession time was that the poor demand of external prospects along with the productive resource reallocation need.

The euro zone countries again facing the same problem as faced by the last two weeks since the EUR/JPY currency pair falls to 109 level had confirmed the resume of downtrend. The upside break in the currency pair leads to the bullish convergence condition. Although we are expecting a strong support at the level below 2000 in the major currency pair of Japan.

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Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Spain could not spoil the hope - Stocks and Euro are less affected in the storm

Yesterday a low was seen in the EURO currency due to the news that Bank of Spain is now lead by the government reconstruction funds. This makes the euro to tumble down after hitting the high of $ 1.25. Since we have seen some earlier gain in the euro currency. There is rebound shown in the DOW after getting low in the morning it reaches to 11000 level so early. The Gold also gets rebounds and reaches to 1190 level where as crude oil is still below the 70 level. In US home sales annualized rate turns to 5.77 level as it rises more than expected but the economic data results in some downside in the Forex online market. But, it can be said that the EURO loss is limited that is the currency pair EUR/USD is selling above 1.23 level.

Despite the announcement of GBP 6 billion spending cutting the Sterling currency is trading in mixed range. This includes the budget cost cutting along with the freezing of public sector services and civil services recruitment, cost cutting on expenses of technology, advertising and travel. The Chancellor Osborne said that- the 500 million pounds cost cutting will results in number of useful projects growth. It can be predicted that this year the savings will contribute to the cost cutting deficit. In overnight trading it is seen that the Stock market also results in a low although it is standing straight within 3 months dollar OIS spread results in 25 basis point after nine months high.

There is a sharp low line graph is seen in the chart of the currency pair EUR/AUD and reaches to a rift of 1.49 level. There is drop-down shown at the level of 1.5455 which is said as a correction and there is a also a strong support anticipated from 55 days of EMA to remain in the downside trend. It was anticipated that there will be a rise seen towards 50 percent retraced at 1.6013. Canadian Dollar is on recovery side today but crude oil is still breaching at below level 70. There is a consolidation shown by USD and Japanese Yen versus major currencies since stabilization is shown by currencies risk sentiments. USD/CAD's currency pair drop-down to 1.078 level that ultimately helps the Canadian dollar to sell-off in the downside. AUD/CAD currency pair is also shows drop-down although it is supporting Loonie in general terms. GBP/CAd is still trading below the medium trend falling trend line and 55 days of EMA.

There is a rise in the opening session of Forex in European stocks today. The stocks high will provide support to risks which will lead to forex market consolidations. We hear the news of the BoC market that it will announce the interest rate hike on first June as anticipated by the market. Now it can be said about the currencies growth rate is mainly dependent on the Boc hike. CAD/JPY is still weak although it recovers from the past week's sharp fall. The currency pair is still in the bearish trend even though the market holds a 86.26 minor resistance. In USD chart it is seen that some support is seen around 55 EMA in four hours. There was a break out shown by the currency pair EUR/GBP at 0.8618 level. If it break of at 0.8427 level then it will confirm the decline resumption.

In Asia there is a fall is shown in the EURO currency tumbles down to 1.2385 from 1.2370 level. This is due to the move in Bank of Spain also some austerity programs supported that has been launched in order to provide support to weaker euro zone's member countries to get recover from the debt crisis. There was a big fall in EURO currency pair that is EUR/JPY is shown that is of 110.10 points. AUD/JPY falls to 73.50 from the 74 level and also a drop down shown in the USD/JPY to 90 level.

Overall it can be said that market is still in the consolidation state and there is a risk shown in the Dollar and Yen sell-off. The euro fall is limited to some extent as predicted in the Forex market. Due to solid economic data out in the US the Dollar gets the safe side flow and there is a dynamic move shown by the Gold in Asian market. These are all the latest update about the Forex market till now.

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Thursday, May 20, 2010

Export Growth Expedite the Economic Growth in Japan

After the First World War the second largest economy of the world Japan faces the worst recession and now it is soon getting recovered by going on the right path to raise the economy from the first quarter of the current year. We all know that exports are the beam of the economy of the world. Due to the weak economic expansion the economy is facing the risk of deflation that threaten the recovery of Global world economic recovery.

In the first quarter of the year the Japan exports rises to 6.9 percent and this is the key reason of the economic recovery of the world's largest economic country Japan. Past three months the economic recovery of Japan boosted the wages and labor market that mainly contributing the recovery process.
Last year, the GDP growth of Japan is 0.9 percent calculated in Q4 and in this year in Q1 only the GDP growth leads to 1.2 percent in comparison to the past year recovery.

The market experts predicted the raise of 1.4 percent from the past year to this year but finally it was revised by 1 percent. If the total GDP growth be estimated it will be 4.9 percent in this year as compared from the past year it was only 3.9 percent. While the market analysts anticipates that GDP growth of this year leds to 5.5 percent.

Japanese exporters was mainly affected in past year by the manufacturing in China speed-up due to the high demand of exports from China leads to deficit of exports in Japan which ultimately hinders the economic recovery. Nissan, the Japan's largest automaker is affected majorly by the China's export growth, it triples the profit of Japan exports while the sales rise.

Today's report cherish the Government and also leads the exports demand from the BOJ that will ultimately throb the deflation rate in Japan. Report says that the consumer spending that is wages and labor market both leads to the fifty percent of the growth rate of Japan raise the 0.3 percent in the Q1 from the past year Q4. It is surveyed that from past 22 months it was the first time that the increment in wages are shown in Japan.

The economic recovery in Japan favor's the manufacturing companies that will result good in coming days, that is Nissan group is making plans to spend the major part of its capital into buying the new technology equipments for leading the footstep with this world. This will rose the job openings and more number of people will be engaged in working that ultimately raises the demand for goods, provides relief to the economic condition of Japan.

The BOJ had decided to fix the interest rate to 0.1 percent that supports the policymakers to fight against the deflation rate. This will help in recovering from the Global world's economy because of the increase in demand of exports from Japan which leads to rebound of manufacturing companies in Japan.

Since the Japan's economy results less as estimated by the experts of the forex online market benefits the EUR/USD currency pairs trading and it reaches to high level of 91.78. It happens due to the failed export recovery along with the less consumer spending. BOJ is in pressure after the two days meeting to decrease the deflation rate in Japan. The Government continues in their expectations from BOJ to do something better in order to reduce the deflation rate but the BOJ is not willing to change its policies after seeing the GDP growth rate.

In terms of Technical analysis it is estimated that the GDP rate of Japan rises to 4.9 percent in past three months till March it was 4.2 percent and was expected to be 5.5 percent from the experts. There was a rise in consumer spending of 0.3 percent in first quarter of this year that was 1.7 percent in the past year's quarter four. There was a lead in housing investment is shown after the continuous five quarters of 0.3 percent. This was the first increment shown in the housing investment while in business investment the past rise was of 1.3 percent where as morning results shows gain of 1 percent. After getting all these results the BOJ holds a two day meeting to and also decided to keep the interest rate to only 0.1 percent and it may be expected to announce the leading plan in today's meeting.

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Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Forex: German Short Sales bans for the welfare of Euro zone

German Government had announced about the selling of short shares to the ten most important financial institution of the country. This can be seen as the hopeless way to protect the euro zone from the debt crisis from the erratic market attacks. DOW falls for - 100 points after the gain earned earlier. Gold seems to be rebound and now it is back trading at 1220 level above. Crude oil is trading against 70 point and reaches at low of 68.91. Dollar is on high and reached to level of 87. The currency pair EUR/USD is continuing on low of 1.2233 point.

Now technical analysis says that- EUR/USD fall below 1.2233 will ensure the decline leads to the 100 percent projection of 1.3691 to 1.2526 and next level predicted should be 1.1928. USD/CHF fall at 1.1447 and ensures rally resumption to the projection of 161.8 percent. AUD/USD also reaching to the the key support level of 0.8577 from the starting of this week. USD is at high position from the starting of the week at the level of 87 point and not it is heading towards the high of 2008 that is of 89.62.

Earlier it is seen that Forex market are trying to stabilize as EMU minister Olli Rehn announce that the countries that belongs to the euro zone debt crisis like Greece, Spain and Portuguese are only needed to have debt cuts in their budget and to maintain the Global economic growth. After getting 14.5 billion funds of EURO the Greek bond enact a rally for repaying the 8.5 billion of EURO bond that are dues.

There was a sharp fall is seen in German currency ZEW by rising at April and fall in May from 53.0 to 45.8 level. The fall also seen in euro zone ZEW drop down from 46 to 37.6 level. President of Germany says that there is seen some uncertainty at the rising of ZEW due the measures taking steps forward by combining the public budgets. The euro zone fall is also an important factor that has given rise to the uncertainty among major currency in forex market. The further development of EURO zone will lead also leads to the market uncertainty.

The latest news that has came from the US housing data is raising more than as expected and reaches to the high of 672k, the highest annualized rate since 2008 October level. As the USD is going high this leads the Forex market into the consolidate mode. The major Forex currency pairs are snugged but there is a high seen in the crude oil from 70 level to rise at 72 level and also the gold is touching the high level at 1210 points. Where as the US stocks opens in mild range in the morning and heading to reach at the strong level overnight.

UK latest update is that the inflation rate CPI jumped to the 3.7 percent as expected in April month and also it reaches at the highest in 17 month. RBA was considered in a pause state as the rate hikes in the May month and leads to the uncertainty in the euro zone area. The EU members discussed in the meeting about the disturbances seen in the forex online market is due to the sovereign debt rescue plan for the euro zone welfare. Australia market does not involve much in the direct impact of the Greece debt crisis. The Central bank of Australia has announced to give rise to the sixth time the policy interest rate. Aussie heads to a three month low after the pause rate hike in RBA.

The latest update of USD/JPY currency pair is that it reaches the level of 91.75 already. The currency is breaking of at the rate of 93.62 and then rising from the level of 88.25 after getting the resistance at 94.87 point. On the downside it can be said that if the level reaches below 90 then there will be a possibility of decline to 90.86 level. Market is trying to overcome from the financial trouble and hoping for some good results in coming days from the Forex market.

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Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Forex trends coiffure after yesterday’s EU statement

Overall, the forex online market would likely to have a mixed trend reaction with Asian market still displaying green signal for investors to sell off their investment and earn the profits as market has moved to such a bounce after experiencing the decline in the trends for more than a week.

The currency pair of EUR/USD had shown decline of 0.51% with 1.27 22/24 trading range having highs at 1.2803 and lows at 1.2703, even though yesterday’s announcement of package displayed a sharp bounce in the EUR trades and hopes are at peak today’s session opening crashed out.

At international market inflation rate in China has engorged up on the exceeding of bank lending rates whereas the property prices had a record soar puffing up the government neck to raise the rates of interest so that currency can experience admirable trades.

Chinese officials need to think about the increasing inflationary force and should take care to put off the excessive profits and hiking up of prices under control and because due to the aid package announcement from Europe further slouch at forex trading platform would not take place in recent times. The increment in the property prices put false the speculation of the experts about the financial status in the last month.

Coming back to the currency pair of GBP/USD same negative trend with -0.31% decline having traded at 1.48 08/10 trade range having highs of 1.48742 and lows of 1.4772. Seeing the trade ranges and the moves of the market there is nothing-satisfactory conclusion to arrive at for deciding the further trade decisions.

Other pair of USD/JPY is trading with slightly bearish trend and trading at 92 level with deviations of around 92.72/73 having the difference of -0.66% trade and the highs at 93.39 while the lows at 92.54.

Lastly, pair of USD/CHF taking break from the negative trending and is greening at the forex online market at the level of 1.11 06/09 and 0.08% having the highs of 1.113 and the lows of 1.107 and trending with slightly bearish trends.

Lets see what else today’s forex trading platform has in its bag for the investors, whether their speculation would hold true or once again get fell down at the floor.

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Tuesday, May 4, 2010

Mounting US Consumer spending, good sign of trade mending

The U.S Dollar rose against the Euro and Yen yesterday on growth in U.S. manufacturing and doubts about Greece's ability to honor a pledge for further austerity measures in return for an aid package.

The Euro continued to fall against the U.S Dollar yesterday as longer term concern over the Euro-Zone sovereign debt contrasted with solid U.S economic data. The U.S data, which showed a strong reading in manufacturing and construction spending, illustrate a U.S economy that continues to drag itself out of the worst recession since the Great Depression. This compares with the Euro Zone where investors remain worried about the implementation of the unprecedented €110billion aid package for Greece. In the forex online market the EUR/USD closed at 1.31974 yesterday, after hitting a low of 1.31530.

The U.S. manufacturing sector grew in April at its fastest pace in almost six years and at a rate that was above expectations, according to an industry report released Monday. The Institute for Supply Management’s said its index of national factory activity rose to 60.4 in April from 59.6 a month earlier. The data represents a ninth straight month of gains, with the headline index at its highest since June 2004.

The U.S Dollar hit an 8-1/2 month high against the Yen as U.S. manufacturing data boosted optimism about the economic recovery. Following the release of the report, the USD/JPY struck a high of 94.774, up 0.82% from yesterday’s opening price. Strong U.S. data has increased expectations the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates later this year, while the Bank of Japan is seen keeping rates low indefinitely. The USD continued to appreciate against the Japanese currency this morning as signs the global economic recovery is gaining momentum damped demand for Yen as a refuge. The USD/JPY rose to a trading high of 94.970, up 0.30% from today’s opening price of 94.689.

Consumer spending in the U.S. rose in March by the most in six months, pointing to a recovery that may accelerate when the economy creates more jobs. Boosted by spending on autos and other durable goods, real U.S. consumer spending increased 0.6% to reach a record high level in March, at last surpassing the pre-recession peak set in November 2007, the Commerce Department reported yesterday. With spending growing much faster than incomes in March, the personal savings rate fell to 2.7%, the lowest since September 2008.

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Monday, March 8, 2010

NFP Results help Greenback to March ahead

Last Friday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the highly anticipated Non-Farm Employment Change, marking the end of one of the busiest weeks for the forex online market this year.

While the U.S Non-Farm Payrolls (referred to as NFP) declined for the 25th time in the past 26th months, the world’s largest economy shed a smaller-than-expected 36,000 jobs throughout February - to a seasonally adjusted 129.5 million. For over the past year, this vital economic indicator has consistently showed a drop in the number of employed Americans. While last month analysts predicted that the NFP would re-enter positive territory and the number of employed Americans would increase by 10K, the Non-Farm Payrolls continued to fall throughout January by 20K.

Economists had predicted that the NFP for February would fall by an additional 56,000, pushing the unemployment rate up by 0.1% to 9.8%. However, Friday’s NFP showed that U.S employers cut a smaller than expected 36,000 jobs throughout February, leaving the unemployment rate steady at 9.7% - bolstering views that the labor market is on the brink of a full economic recovery.

The dollar posted its biggest five-day gain versus the Japanese Yen in two weeks, as risk appetite returned to the market following the better than expected NFP. Last week the greenback rose 1.5% to 90.28 Yen, from 88.97 on February 26th. Following the announcement of the NFP, the USD gained as much as 1.76% against the yen, the biggest intra-day move since December 11th of last year. The volatile pair closed at 90.265, up 1.3% from the day’s open.

The Canadian dollar posted its biggest weekly gain in two months versus the greenback as the improvement in its largest trading partner’s outlook could provide a boost for Canada’s economy. The USD/CAD pair fell 0.19% on Friday, as the Loonie rose to a six-week high of 0.972USD. Later today (1315GMT) will publish the number of Housing Starts for February - the number of new residential buildings on which construction was begun during the previous month. Economists expect 190,000 starts, annualized basis, up from 185,600 the previous month.


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Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Unpredictability plagues every angle of USD

The problem that the US has with consistent signs of recovery came through on Monday as two separate reports showing two totally different things were released.

While the manufacturing report showed a steady increase in US production, a clearly positive sign that indicates some semblance of growth, however any bounce that the Dollar took off of this was stifled by a housing report which showed that prices have now fallen – at least in November/December – to the lowest level in years.

The continued duality of this mythical recovery is affecting Forex traders and their ability to adequately trade in any of the USD related pairs. The issue here is misinformation, not necessarily by news organizations, but by the government agencies and private parties that comprise the “independent” review boards for various sectors.

Take the employment numbers for example; ADP which is the largest payroll processor in the US comes out with a report, usually on Wednesdays, that shows the total number of people that they processed payroll for each week.

If the number rises, you know that more people are employed, if the umber drops you know some were terminated.

For the past month and a half, the ADP has come out showing an increase in layoffs, while the government report – the Non-Farm Payroll – has shown less layoffs. They both cannot be right and yet they both are representing the same data.

The difficulty in predicting which way the recovery pendulum is swinging is clearly evident here as there is no guarantee that one piece of data will be supported by another, a former given in Forex trading.

So, as we continue to build on the New Year, we must remember to proceed with caution. What you see is not necessarily what exists – in charts, in data and in rallies and downtrends.

What used to be somewhat predictable has now become impossible to peg and scouring the data will not help clarify – the market in USD is running on whims and psychological factors. As we have seen in the past with stocks, this is a dangerous pattern and we can only hope it settles down soon.

Wednesday, December 23, 2009

Sterling falls on BOE revelations; Dollar pulls back after home sales disappoint

GBP

The British Pound Sterling fell on Wednesday, after the release of the Bank of England’s policy meeting minutes were released.

The transcripts showed that all nine members of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee voted in favor of keeping interest rates at ½ of a percent and extend the 200 Billion Pound asset purchasing program.

The impression given by the minutes is that every committee member is sitting on a fence waiting for something to happen, declaring they will re-evaluate the situation in their February meeting.

This lack of leadership or dissent to some degree has unnerved Forex investors who are concerned that the Bank is not acting fast enough to wind down the stimulus measures implemented earlier in the year.

At 10:00 GMT, the Pound was trading down .07% against the US Dollar to 1.5933 after initially falling more than .5%. The Sterling was also down .27% against the Euro to .8946, down .24% versus the Japanese Yen to 146.25, down .47% to the Swiss Franc to 1.6666 and down .64% against the Canadian Dollar to 1.6771.

USD

The US Dollar gave back some its recent gains on Wednesday after a late session data release brought back doubts about the US economic recovery. New Home Sales, which were expected to rise to 440,000 dropped 11% to 355,000.

The October number also came back to ruin the holiday spirit for the Greenback as it was revised downward from 430,000 to 400,000.

The disappointing number was the largest drop since January and brought the housing market back to levels not seen in seven months.

The Dollar had been the benefactor of a spate of positive data in the past week that gave investors confidence in the strength of the recovery, however after five straight positive sessions, it appears as if the Dollar is set to give back some.

Today’s durable goods and initial unemployment numbers could set the tone for the last week of 2009 trading next week.

At 10:10 GMT, the US Dollar was trading down .51% to the Euro to 1.4317, down .44% against the Japanese Yen to 91.42, down .48% to the Canadian Dollar to 1.0521, down .35% versus the Australian Dollar to .8792, down .6% against the New Zealand Dollar to .703 and down .91% to the Swiss Franc to hold in at 1.0396.

Happy Holidays

This is the final Market review before the Christmas Holiday. We wish all of our customers the Merriest of Christmas’, Happiest of Holidays and most Joyful of New Years.

May you realize your dreams in the year to come, have success follow you wherever you go – and may peace fill this planet we all share.